* Migration evokes sentiments in destination nations and in onlookers. What sentiments are justified, instinctive, ethical, practical, enlightening? Worry or despair might qualify for all of these.
* After WWII, European nations implemented reforms to reduce the chance of war among themselves and to restrain racism, eventually uniting economically. They committed to protecting refugees, contrary to their tradition and to tribal drives instinctive to us all. Several European leaders recently sought to help thousands of immigrants from North Africa and the Middle East, but this required an ability to distribute migrants rationally among European countries, a plan that was rejected by most countries. Because of this and the overwhelming numbers, several of the initially welcoming countries now try to stop the flow. A refugee-distribution plan might be doomed by visa-free travel among European countries.
* I believe that civilization will be better with Europeans than with Moslems controlling Europe. If so, Europe needs to stem the immigrant flow upstream – destroying smuggler's boats, supporting governments faced with rebellion, helping failed countries achieve economic balance, promoting birth control worldwide.
* What about the justice and ethics of stemming immigration? Perhaps Europeans deserve the immigration as punishment for their(our) crimes against all non-Europeans, centuries of stealing lands, resources and lives of non-Europeans in all continents but Antarctica. As a product and beneficiary of such crimes, I would deserve such punishment but can't wish for it. A just and omnipotent observer might very well encourage and facilitate the migration we are witnessing, unless she sees something valuable and irreplaceable in European culture -- for example, a half century of reason, fairness and responsibility, earlier Shakespeare, Vivaldi and Beethoven. They(we) might be partially forgiven, since it seems impossible for tribes with more communication, organization and technology to resist dominating and exploiting tribes with less.
* Considering how much Europeans have harmed and exploited non-Europeans for centuries, we should at least recognize a debt to the descendants of the harmed and exploited. Can we help the latter in some way that partially discharges that debt, short of welcoming them to over-run Europe and lands now dominated by Eurotypes?
* Migration pressure spiked this year due to conflicts in the source countries, but that pressure has been high and rising for decades and is becoming explosive due to unconstrained reproductive drive, as argued in an earlier essay: Of cells, people, tribes, nations and tumors .
* Actual fertility rates of various countries are listed in the Table below. Those countries with fertility rates above 3 are irresponsibly setting the stage for an exploding Population Bomb. Every country with a fertility rate below 3 should band together to exclude migration from and economic aid to the exploding regions that do nothing to bridle their fertility. Note the insanely high rates in arid regions and middle Africa. How much of that is due to the Reagan/Republican gag rule?
* The idea that a country with a fertility rate < 2 needs immigrants is simple minded. There are plenty of ways for reproductively responsible nations to achieve prosperous steady states. Unbridled free-trade capitalism isn't one of them.
* Consider the tar-baby character of foreign conflicts. As a world-entangled nation, we are expected to and feel compelled to pass judgement on combatants, to stick our noses in where benign neglect would be better. We often side with ignorant populations against greedy leaders, encouraging rebellion where stability would be better for all. Perhaps we did too little of this in Latin America over the past century, but we probably did too much of it at the end of the cold war. I postulate that the the west and the Arab states would be better off had we kept our hands and mouths out of Arab politics after 1991. Iraq is a cauldron of ISIS toxins. Tunisia is suffering increased Islamist crimes and is cultivating ISIS soldiers. Egypt illegitimately returned to military rule rightly fearing duly elected Islamist rulers. Libya now hosts an endless struggle among clans and militias. The Syrian rebellion created ISIS, as al-Assad warned. We couldn't resist meddling in these conflicts on the side of destruction.
* Syrian rebels are guilty of massive and widespread harm, and we are guilty of encouraging them. Those wishing to condemn al-Assad should consider the impossibility of governing a nation with permeable borders overrun by Iraqi refugees, with several irreconcilable tribes/religions, with an unprecedented global-warming drought and with few marketable resources. We revere Abraham Lincoln, who mobilized all deadly weapons available against our rebellion.
* Plausibly leaders cling to power in Arab and African countries because they fear retribution for tyrannical rule, and/or they are of a tribe or clan that would be oppressed after losing control of the police and military. More stable countries like us could help such countries transfer power peacefully by providing attractive retirement packages for their leaders.
Niger 7.6 Egypt 2.8
Mali 6.9 Belize 2.7
Somalia 6.7 Morocco 2.7
Chad 6.4 Saudi Arabia 2.7
Burundi 6.1 Botswana 2.7
Dem Rep Congo 6.0 Kuwait 2.6
Nigeria 6.0 Fiji 2.6
Angola 6.0 Guyana 2.6
Uganda 6.0 Ecuador 2.6
Gambia 5.8 Kazakhstan 2.6
Zambia 5.7 Nicaragua 2.5
Burkina Faso 5.7 Uzbekistan 2.5
Malawi 5.5 Dominican Republic 2.5
Timor-Leste 5.3 India 2.5
Tanzania 5.3 Panama 2.5
Mozambique 5.3 World Average 2.5
Afghanistan 5.1 Peru 2.4
Republc of Congo 5.0 Mongolia 2.4
South Sudan 5.0 Guam (US) 2.4
Guinea 5.0 Venezuela 2.4
Guinea-Bissau 5.0 South Africa 2.4
Senegal 5.0 Libya 2.4
Equatorial Guinea 4.9 Seychelles 2.4
Benin 4.9 Nepal 2.4
Côte d'Ivoire 4.9 Indonesia 2.4
Liberia 4.9 Turkmenistan 2.4
Cameroon 4.9 Sri Lanka 2.3
Eritrea 4.8 Cabo Verde 2.3
Comoros 4.8 Colombia 2.3
Sierra Leone 4.8 Suriname 2.3
Mauritania 4.7 Maldives 2.3
Togo 4.7 Jamaica 2.3
Ethiopia 4.6 Bhutan 2.3
Rwanda 4.6 Mexico 2.2
Madagascar 4.5 El Salvador 2.2
Sudan 4.5 Bangladesh 2.2
Kenya 4.5 Curaçao (Netherlands) 2.2
Centrl Afrcn Repubc 4.5 Grenada 2.2
Samoa 4.2 Kosovo 2.2
Yemen 4.2 Argentina 2.2
Sao Tome & Principe 4.1 Tunisia 2.2
Gabon 4.1 New Caledonia (France) 2.1
Solomon Islands 4.1 Antigua and Barbuda 2.1
Iraq 4.1 Bahrain 2.1
Gaza Strp & West Bnk 4.1 French Polynesia (France) 2.1
Ghana 3.9 Turkey 2.1
Guatemala 3.8 Uruguay 2.1
Papua New Guinea 3.8 New Zealand 2.1
Tajikistan 3.8 Population Replacement 2.1
Tonga 3.8 Iceland 2.0
Zimbabwe 3.6 Qatar 2.0
Djibouti 3.5 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 2.0
Vanuatu 3.4 Brunei 2.0
Swaziland 3.4 Ireland 2.0
Micronesia 3.3 France 2.0
Jordan 3.3 Azerbaijan 2.0
Pakistan 3.3 North Korea 2.0
Bolivia 3.3 Greenland (Denmark) 2.0
Haiti 3.2 Malaysia 2.0
Laos 3.1 Myanmar (Burma) 2.0
Namibia 3.1 St. Lucia 1.9
Kyrgyzstan 3.1 Australia 1.9
Lesotho 3.1 Iran 1.9
Philippines 3.1 Sweden 1.9
Honduras 3.1 United Kingdom 1.9
Israel 3.0 Bahamas, The 1.9
Syria 3.0 United States 1.9
Kiribati 3.0 Norway 1.9
Paraguay 2.9 Barbados 1.8
Cambodia 2.9 Chile 1.8
Oman 2.9 United Arab Emirates 1.8
Algeria 2.8 Sint Maarten (French part) 1.8
_____________________________________________________
Georgia 1.8 Liechtenstein 1.5
Brazil 1.8 Bulgaria 1.5
Costa Rica 1.8 Lebanon 1.5
Virgin Islands (US) 1.8 Cyprus 1.5
Finland 1.8 Moldova 1.5
Trinidad and Tobago 1.8 Cuba 1.5
Belgium 1.8 Czech Republic 1.5
Vietnam 1.8 Austria 1.4
Bermuda (UK) 1.8 Latvia 1.4
Albania 1.8 Macedonia 1.4
Armenia 1.8 Malta 1.4
Denmark 1.7 Mauritius 1.4
Netherlands 1.7 Thailand 1.4
Aruba (Netherlands) 1.7 Japan 1.4
Montenegro 1.7 Italy 1.4
China 1.7 Germany 1.4
Puerto Rico (US) 1.6 Slovak Republic 1.3
Belarus 1.6 Greece 1.3
Canada 1.6 Hungary 1.3
Lithuania 1.6 Spain 1.3
Russia 1.6 Serbia 1.3
Slovenia 1.6 Poland 1.3
Luxembourg 1.6 South Korea 1.3
Estonia 1.6 Singapore 1.3
Ukraine 1.5 Hong Kong (China) 1.3
Romania 1.5 Portugal 1.3
Switzerland 1.5 Bosnia and Herzegovina 1.3
Croatia 1.5 San Marino 1.3
Croatia 1.5 Macau (China) 1.1
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_sovereign_states_and_dependent_territories_by_fertility_rate
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment