Thursday, November 14, 2024

What if we were ethical?


By “we” I mean my tribes, kind or ilk: American, white, Christian, male, middle class.

Sunday, November 10, 2024

Antijackknife/Antispinout Module

  We have designed a system that disables a semi-truck’s front-wheel brakes while the tractor is skidding sideward and steered in the direction of skid, allowing the front wheels to roll freely and restore alignment of the tractor with its trajectory.  Braking responds to the brake peddle normally when skidding stops or steering ceaces to be in the direction of skid.

The system consists of a control module mounted on the steering column and an effector valve in each front-brake hose, these with appropriate wiring.  The control module is equipped with a steering-direction sensor, a lateral-acceleration sensor and a relay.  The sensors pass current from the brake-light circuit to the relay trigger when inertia and steering are both rightward or when inertia and steering are both leftward.  The relay when so triggered passes current from the key-on circuit to both effector valves (left front and right front).  The activated valves block their respective brake hoses and deflate respective front-brake chambers.

We believe the module can be manufactured for less than $100 and installed for less than $200 and that it could sell for more than $500, considering the anxiety and danger associated with jackknifes and spinouts.  It is possible that the antijackknife/antispinout system can use the ABS valves.  Otherwise it would require a dedicated three-way valve on each front brake hose.

We welcome inquiries from possible manufacturers at:

Mary Norberg 

Product Licensing Agent 

Pacific World Marketing, LLC. 

50 Sand Creek Rd.  Suite 210 

Brentwood, CA 94513 

T. 925.634.1140 

F. 925.634.1149 

Ingrid Regen: ingrid@dimp.com

Sam Regen:  bogus_id@comcast.net

Brian Hoffman: brian.hoffman.123@gmail.com




Tuesday, October 15, 2024

Population Collapse and Spiritual Suffering

  By several measures, the earth is overpopulated.  In just 200 years, we have run through most of the easily extractable fossil fuels and metal ores, we have decimated numerous animal species, and we have polluted the atmosphere and waters beyond the tipping point where global warming became self accelerating, resulting in run-away global warming, widespread aridification and flooding storms.  The Amazon is drying up and southeast USA suffered epic floods last week.

Lately several factors have conspired to inhibit population growth of advanced nations.  Significant are women’s education, women’s employment and social media.  Numerous experts find the fertility deficit regrettable.  Economists warn that declining fertility results in too few working citizens to support the retired citizens, financially and practically.  Social security will go broke and caretakers will not suffice.  Also important is the social pathology associated with mating failure.  Finally, neighborhoods, even cities with abandoned homes quickly become socially dangerous bankruptcy hot spots.

In my opinion, the ecological benefits of reduced population justify the unavoidable suffering associated with it.  I challenge fellow julepers to imagine ways to minimize that suffering.  Here are some random thoughts:

1)  Social Centers scattered liberally among neighborhoods.  These would be spaces to facilitate innocent interactions among neighbors – board games, music making, dancing, theater.

2)  Community gardens and garden-support clubs.

3)  ? ? ?

Tuesday, September 3, 2024

Restraint needed

Catastrophes for our grandchildren because their predecessors (we) could not decide rationally to restrain their (our) appetites and share with descendants:

1)  Fossil fuels will be largely depleted and total energy supply will be insufficient for modern conveniences, like transportation, indoor comfort, mechanized farming.

2)  The atmosphere will have enough CO2 to render much land and water inhospitable to humans and human-supporting life: Too hot and too acidic.

3)  The demands of data storage (exponentially growing cloud: Google, YouTube, AI, smartphone, blockchain) will overwhelm energy-supply systems (fuels, grid).

4)  Excessive information technology will dominate the human experience, resulting in ennui, envy,  loneliness, meaninglessness and procreative insufficiency.  

5)  Tribalism (ethnic, religious) will result in more barbaric conflicts as the environment degrades.


Of these mega-trends, the only desirable one is procreative insufficiency, sad though it may be – desirable only in that it will diminish the energy shortage.


Monday, August 19, 2024

Strategic Food Reserves

See: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bill_Emerson_Humanitarian_Trust

Virtually every scientist knows that our civilization is on the edge of massive harvest failures.  We can’t predict when and where failures will happen, but we know that continued global warming will render large areas too hot or dry or flood prone for their historical crops and livestock.  Yet we have no strategic food reserves.  We abandoned such safety measures in favor of price manipulation back in the 1990's.

        Hopefully, farm practices can adjust to gradual changes in climate, but there will always be periods of mismatch and low production.

I believe that we should have an international convention to identify areas of Antarctica where vast numbers of grain-filled shipping containers sealed with nitrogen gas can be parked without upsetting local flora and fauna.  The convention could supervise rational allocation of container-parking spaces among participating nations.

Nations owning the reserves would be able to use them to satisfy their own needs and to sell or lend them to other nations – those with fertility rates below three babies per mother.  The reserves should not be sold to nations with higher fertility rates.

We could experience a temporary crop failure due to global warming and the opposite.  For example, a large volcanic eruption or a large asteroid collision could bring on a year or more of dark and cool summers.  A large solar storm could disable much of our communications and control apparatus at a critical time.  And then there is the threat of nuclear winter.

It is irresponsible not to have a generous strategic food reserve.  Any significant food shortage will result in a breakdown of social order the likes of which cannot be imagined.


The distribution of fertility rates is presented in the following map:

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/d/d7/Total_Fertility_Rate_Map_by_Country.svg

Thursday, August 8, 2024

Sad Truth

It’s worse than inconvenient.  It’s devastating and inevitable.  Our quest for satisfaction is rapidly depleting the resources needed for our descendants to satisfy needs, desires, comforts, etc.  Our institutions (religions, governments, schools) reflect our primitive tribal instincts and so cannot respond rationally.  Astrophysical and geological events will destroy us even if we could respond rationally.

Given these facts: What matters?  What should we care about?  What should we do with our temporary existence?  I would argue that suffering matters, that we should care about and try to minimize unnecessary suffering.  That would be worthwhile.

Most suffering is out of our control.  Wild sentient animals suffer much of the time with hunger, fear, exposure, disease, parasites, injury, etc.  Western societies generally recognize a duty to treat domesticated animals humanely.  Modern medicine is advanced though poorly distributed.  But we haven’t figured out how to prevent crime and war.  We harm each other unnecessarily and often regrettably.  We don’t have the institutions to address the suffering coming our way due to over consumption and resource depletion.  Every effort to address this problem is met with political opposition.  The promise of tax breaks prevails over reason.  No political system and no religious movement promises better outcomes.

We need a new institution built with new technology.

Wednesday, July 10, 2024

15 Recommendations:

 

1  Respect truth

2  Revere justice

3  Relieve suffering (famine, disease, injury)

4  Restrain primal urges (greed, fear, tribalism, procreation)

5  Resist mischief (it's usually regretted)

6  Regard beauty

7  Remain curious

8  Restore balance

9  Reduce, Reuse, Repurpose, Repair, Recycle stuff

10  Reject social media

11  Stay inventive

12  Save nature

13  Share burdens and benefits

14  Seek meaning

15  Sing sentimental songs

This list attempts to identify satisfying life choices that support civilization.  What have I missed?  What doesn't belong? 

Saturday, May 18, 2024

Israel/Palestine

 What decision by what Israeli leader since 1946 might have resulted in durable peace and justice from the river to the sea?

Saturday, May 4, 2024

Proposed test for light-speed symmetry

It is said that we don’t know the actual speed of light going from a source to a target; we know only the two-way speed going from a source to a target and reflecting back to the source.  Conceivably light is faster in one direction than the other.  Perhaps one could test whether light has the same speed in opposite directions by use of the spinning photosensitive disc illustrated below.

The idea is to send a pulse of light simultaneously leftward and rightward from a single, middle source over a fast spinning photosensitive disc.  If the disc spins fast enough, the light pulse should leave an arc shaped mark on each side, left and right.  If light’s leftward and rightward speeds differ, then the arc will be flatter on the side of faster light speed, like the purple-dot path compared to the green-dot paths.  One will not know which side is faster unless the light leaves a side-specific signature, eg a left-right color difference.

         In this illustration, the disc made one quarter rotation as a light pulse (green dots) went from center to left edge and from center to right edge.  It is depicted as it was at the end of that quarter turn.  The purple dots show the path of the right-side pulse if it were twice as fast.  They advanced with the disc as the slower and later (green) exposures occurred.

        Considering the speed of light relative to the speed of a matter disc, this experiment would require extremely fine resolution, since the disc would advance only a few atoms as the light pulse traveled from middle to edge.  But such resolution may be possible, as it was achieved in the LIGO gravity-wave sensor.

        An analogous experiment could be done with a  fast-sliding photo-sensitive sheet instead of disk, or with a fast-rotating photo-sensitive cylinder as illustrated below.  Perhaps the moving photo-sensitivity could be electronic rather than massive, given the speeds implied.




Tuesday, April 30, 2024

Better governance, better society

Here are some ideas that might improve our society -- decreasing gratuitous suffering, increasing justice and truth.

1.  In the House of Representatives and Senate, every vote should be held twice, once in secret and once overt.  In the secret vote, every member would choose what he/she believes will make America stronger and more just.  In the overt vote, every member would vote as traditionally influenced by the party leaders.  Only the overt vote would be official, but the difference should be discussed.

2.  Double the fairness of the electoral college by giving each state as many electors as it has representatives plus one (not plus two).

3.  Devise a more just drawing of representative districts by using a computer program that minimizes distance traveled by voters to their polling places.

4.  Each year after a downward revision of tax rates by congress, change the tax rates 10% back toward their previous values each year that the deficit is greater than before the revision.

5.  Place a 1% tax on each person’s net worth above one million.  Alternatively do what Elizabeth Warren proposes.

6.  Modify items 4 and 5 so as to keep interest on the national debt less than half of the military budget.

7.  Restore original Senate procedures: Simple majority and one-person live filibuster.

8.  Levy foreign-manufacture sales taxes instead of import tarriffs.  This can be accomplished easily now that every item of commerce has a unique 2-D bar code.  This tax would be used to reduce off-shoring or increase on-shoring for the sake of national security and labor support.

9.  Provide communities in which to house homeless populations and outlaw camping on streets.  There could be substance-specific settlements in abandoned mining towns, for example.

10.  Place regulatory limits on off-shoring of US-established manufacturing operations so as to keep a fraction of machinery and expertise in US.

11.  Place high-altitude month-long-soaring camera planes above US border areas to record locations of moving objects one-frame per second (eg).  That way, substance traffickers and other criminals can be located and identified.

12.  Implement a one- or two-year national service requirement for all youth after high school.

13.  Require email promoters to halve the frequency of messages to a given url for each week that they receive no response from said url.  Alternatively or additionally, make the unsubscribe button uniformly easy to implement.

14.  Identify and implement rational, practical and ethical immigration policies and north/south economic relations.

15.  Outlaw high-capacity clips/mags.

16.  Reach out helpfully to latin nations including Cuba, Venezuala and Mexico.




Wednesday, April 24, 2024

Democrats don’t do dirt

Democrats don’t do dirt.  If they did dirt, Hillary Clinton would have been our 45th president.  For example, when Trump began crowding Clinton on the debate stage, she might have said: “Don’t come so close when your diapers are so full”; or “Don’t crowd people when you need a diaper change!”   And in the present race, when people question Biden’s physical and mental stamina, he could point out that he (Biden) doesn’t wear diapers, in contrast to Trump.  Democrats could have people outside the courthouse to ask Trump whether he needs a diaper change or whether he has considered the prospect of changing his diaper in a jail cell for violating the gag rule.  But, Democrats don't do dirt.

Monday, April 22, 2024

Proposed Internet law

The promoter of a given product must halve the frequency of messages about that product to a given url for each week said messages to said url go unanswered.


The value of email has been greatly diminished by spam.  My children have stopped checking their email because their inbox is so full of irrelevant messages.  They don't have the time to go through and delete the spam or to identify it as spam for automatic sorting.

Therefore, I propose the above law with means to punish offenders.