Sunday, May 3, 2015

Analysis of harmful events

* There might be less harm, regret, resentment, pain and hate were our judgements and conversations more objective, ethical, analytical, empathetic and imaginative, less self-righteous and blaming.  We could start by recognizing that actual events are caused inextricably by antecedent determinants, then by attempting to identify determinants of regrettable events, then by imagining alternative determinants that might have steered the cause-effect chain to a less regrettable outcome.  Cool analysis would diminish harmful revenge and repeats of regrettable events.  This counterfactual thinking is how humans and other animals improve their futures.
* Freddie Gray’s death in custody of Baltimore police can be a case study.  The six arresting police officers have been charged with 2nd degree murder.  This wouldn’t have happened without the riots.  The riots might not have happened without the fiery speeches by black leaders and not without recent deaths of other black suspects.  The police would administer milder street justice were they not frustrated by repeat offenders, noncompliant suspects and disrespectful populace.  The populace would be more respectful and appreciative of police could they imagine their neighborhoods without police hence ruled by remorseless bullies.  Rap culture probably plays a role in the disrespect.  The demography, unemployment, disaffection in black enclaves can be attributed to 400 years of slavery, racism and neglect by entitled Euro-Americans, recently also automation and outsourcing.  The 1970s opportunities for reconciliation were squandered by blacks and whites.
* All of the above dynamics might be less  toxic were it possible to share economic activity more rationally among tribes (ie races, religions, geographic locations, languages).   Access to employment is a necessary component of dignity and contentment.  The self-reinforcing advantage of technological superiority needs to be dampened.
 * The diagram below is a crude attempt at the analysis espoused herein.  What is missing?  What is erroneous?  If it's too small, click on it.